I call it “the fallacy of the future” because I think it sounds good. And it’s a perfect synopsis of what I’ve come to call “the fallacy of the future.” ![]() You can’t beat carpe diem for succinctness, but I think the second part of the line really drives the point home. In fact, perhaps the best expression of the core idea happened over 2,000 years ago, in 23 BC, when Horace wrote (in Odes 1.11): “ carpe diem.” Everyone knows the meaning of that phrase-”seize the day.” What most people don’t know, however, is the full line: “ carpe diem, quam minimum credula postero” (“seize the day, put as little trust in the future as possible”). The ideas I’m about to discuss are not new.
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